Continental Focus, International Reach

Nigeria—Security and the Coming Elections

Tuesday, January 20, 2015

As Nigeria moves closer to election day, the security in the country, especially in the north, is quickly spiraling out of control. Security firm AKE Intelligence raised its risk rating for the country, putting it in the Grave Security Concern category.

As southern states are preparing to cast their ballots, citizens in certain northern states are battening down the hatches or fleeing from the Islamist terror group, Boko Haram. The militants have taken control of a substantial amount of the northern state Borno and have seized more than one town in neighboring states.

Nigeria’s presidential elections are scheduled to take place on February 14, pitting incumbent Goodluck Jonathan’s People’s Democratic Party (PDP) against Muhammadu Buhari of the All Progressives Congress (APC). While Jonathan is expected to come in as the winner, the elections could widen the divide between the north and south politically given that Jonathan has been reluctant to come to the aid of the north.

AKE projects that the security situation in northern Nigeria will further deteriorate in the coming months, with no sign of an end to Boko Haram’s momentum. The security firm also predicts the potential of sporadic terrorist attacks in Abuja or even Lagos, particularly during the election cycle which is likely to last until mid-March.


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