Petroleum Africa
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Monday, October 21, 2013
Release
LONDON – East Africa could face another terrorist attack on the scale of the Westgate Mall incident in Kenya.
Both Kenya and Uganda are on high alert following the al-Shabab attack in September but AKE intelligence believes that security measures across the region are still insufficient.
“Despite the threat, security precautions are still lackluster in many parts of Nairobi and Kampala” says AKE sub-Saharan Africa analyst Alasdair Reid.
“Particularly at-risk areas include popular bars, restaurants and even other shopping malls in downtown areas.”
More than 60 people were killed during the September attack, which targeted the Westgate Mall in central Nairobi. Al-Shabab bombings also killed 74 people in Kampala in 2010.
“With their troops deployed in Somalia, the highest risk of attack is subsequently in Uganda, Kenya and Burundi. However, the recent arrest of al-Shabab sympathisers in southern Tanzania could indicate an attempt by the group to expand its area of influence in the region” says Reid.
AKE expects that terrorism will pose a major concern for the foreseeable future.
“Attacks should be anticipated as long as East African troops remain active in Somalia.”
The current AKE security risk rating for Kenya is 21 (Heightened Security Concerns). Uganda is rated at 20 and Burundi is rated at 23 (which also denote Heightened Security Concerns). Tanzania has a lower rating of 16 (Elevated Risk) while Somalia is rated at 42 (Highly Dangerous Business Environment) which makes it AKE’s highest rated country in Africa.
Further analysis on Kenya, Uganda, Burundi, Tanzania and Somalia is available on AKE’s intelligence website Global Intake (http://www.globalintake.com).
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